KamazXBT

btc dominance knocking on the range top a third time, alts ex stables fell twice as hard as btc this month, reads like alts still the weak side, that lean holds while the weekly stays over 60%, a weekly close over 61,4% confirms it

ny open squeezed the shorts, perps flipped to net buying and oi flushed off the high as price ran into the lid, spot bought too but lighter, reads like covering more than fresh longs, leaning bullish while 81,5k holds, 4h close over 83,2k is the hopefully triggers bitcoin:native

total cap back on the old may top and holding, higher lows since june, reads like a retest not a top, bullish while the weekly holds 2,65T, breakout on a weekly close over 2,95T bitcoin:native

total crypto market cap is retesting its old may top at 2,65 to 2,72T as support, not confirmed yet, higher lows since june and a 2,95T swing high above, weekly close over 2,95T opens 3,0 to 3,15T then 3,29T, weekly close under 2,65T opens the 2,53T september low

perps keep shorting what spot is buying, 552M sold on perps today while spot bought for the 5th day in a row and etfs took in 527M, price is coiling on the 81,5k etf cost line with higher lows under a flat 83,2k lid, short liquidations are stacked right above at 82,75 to 83,5k so a break of the lid squeezes into 84,35k, lose the rising line and 81,5k and the longs get flushed to 80,25k then 79,7k bitcoin:native

bitcoin:native onchain update , price is sitting right on the most important level right now which is the us spot etf holders average cost at 81,5k, it dipped below on 8 and 13 oct and closed back above both times, sellers look like they are running out, long term holders realized losses peaked on 12 aug and are down around 85% since and in 2022 the same thing happened a few weeks before the cycle low, last week more coins were sold at a loss than at a profit which usually shows up near local lows, supply in profit is down to 68,2% so there is not much paper profit left to take, buyers are no

$BTC - the script dosent miss

Onchain $BTC
This chart shows onchain cost basis levels where different classes of BTC holders are positioned. It’s built from realized price data, not price action. F1 around 81k is the short-term holder cluster. F2 is a low-volume gap. F3 is where institutional buyers and ETF flows are likely anchored, around 65-68k. F4 is the long-term holder realized price zone at 56-60k, the last line of defense in macro terms. It doesn’t show liquidations, open interest, or footprint behavior.

The pivot is happening - I'm pretty bullish for mid-Jan, February, and mid-March, then expecting chop afterward.
Still flat - no new positions added. It’s been a good month. Getting ready for the holidays and heading out tonight for a Christmas trip with the fam. Not chasing anything now - preserving capital, resting up, and preparing for what looks like a high-conviction Q1 2026 window. Happy holidays guys If you have any questions just DM or tag me i will try to answer
$BTC

oh wow , after 3 years my NFTs value is like 100$

The size of that fist. If @jakepaul pulls this off with @anthonyjoshua going to be crazy.

Right now, markets are positioned for a Fed rate cut , and they'll likely get one. But that doesn’t mean conditions are bullish. The Fed is operating in a data blackout: no CPI, no jobs numbers, no clear view on inflation. That raises the risk Powell cuts rates today, but he can deliver a cautious message, warning that future cuts aren’t guaranteed without stronger evidence. If that happens, it’s a “hawkish cut” , and markets could sell off, especially if the updated dot plot shows fewer rate cuts in 2026 than the market expects. Meanwhile, the deeper issue is liquidity. The Fed’s balance she

Currently sitting in the middle of the range - both sides are a bit juicy, but shorts can get more squeezed since we've done that several times with longs before. We need a proper reclaim of the 93k area to start cascade liquidate the shorts. $BTC