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DoubleEdge

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zcash:native morning: full-page ad in the Wall Street Journal. zcash:native afternoon: full retrace. Cleanest top signal of the year?
ZEC+1.16%
2026 safe havens: ethereum:0x6982508145454ce325ddbe47a25d4ec3d2311933 $AMD whatever the Fed isn’t talking about today
ETH-1.26%
AMD+8.55%
The market wanted core CPI to cool to 0.2%. It printed 0.3% for the third straight month. Headline came in at 0.4% vs 0.3% expected. The 2Y is at 4.70%, up 13.6 bps on the session, against +5.4 bps in the 10Y. Clean bear flattener. Crude is still sliding and the front end is
Crypto breadth is cooked. A month ago, 14 of 20 coins were above their 50DMA. Now it’s 1 of 20. Alts’ share of OI went from ~61% to 50.6%, BTC ETFs saw $1.28B in outflows, and stablecoin supply shrank $6.66B in a week. Even with OI bleeding across most alts, average funding is
BTC+1.04%
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$SOXX up 7.45% while $NVDA traded roughly 6% lower. That’s the print I’d circle from Monday. The equal-weight S&P kept pace with $SPY at around +2.6%, and small caps gained 3.6%. There was a bid outside tech, with the strongest buying in chips. For Nvidia itself, Friday’s $186.64
NVDA+4.57%
SPX+0.33%
Tomorrow’s CPI decides December. Nowcast: 0.2 headline / 0.19 core. Last print was 0.33 and they held. So what’s the excuse to hike on a cooler one? Market still pricing it like it’s coming.
Monday: Iran deal on. Iran deal off. Qatar denies. Al-Arabiya confirms. Oil -$5. bitcoin:native still waiting for one buyer.
BTC-0.67%
One of my favorite pico top tells: altcoin OI dominance. Sep 27: alts peaked in OI share vs bitcoin:native. TOTAL3 (crypto ex BTC & ETH) topped the same day. Now corn is taking back OI share while TOTAL3 bleeds. Nature is healing.
BTC-0.65%
ETH-1.23%
now or you can basically log-off bitcoin:native
BTC-0.67%
I'd like to stick with corn rather than longing alts at current levels. The time for them to bounce could be a lower.
CORN-0.12%
Market update | November 6 The rebound has survived a stronger-than-expected jobs report, but participation remains uneven. At this snapshot, SOXX is up 3.1%, QQQ 1.7%, small caps 1.1% and SPY 0.6%. Equal weight is still slightly red. Chips have given back some of their
SOXX+7.81%
QQQ+2.84%
Pre-market thoughts | November 6 The most heavily sold parts of the market are leading this morning’s rebound. SOXX is up 4.8% premarket after losing 12.2% yesterday, while momentum is up 2.9% and QQQ 1.45%. Even after that bounce, SOXX remains roughly 8% below Wednesday’s
bitcoin:native is it bullish or not?
BTC-0.67%
Market thoughts | November 5 The selloff is accelerating. SPY is down 3.5%, QQQ 5.8%, small caps 3% and equal weight 1.6%. Tech still leads lower, but the damage is spreading across the market. RSP/SPY and IWM/QQQ remain higher because they are falling less than Nasdaq. With
Pre-market thoughts | Nov 4 Chips did most of the work yesterday. SOXX is up another 1.3% premarket, but IWM is up 1.2% and equal weight is up 0.7%. The megacap basket is slightly red. I like this tape more when small caps are participating. Democratic sweept in Congress and a
SOXX+7.81%
IWM+1.06%
update for bitcoin:native outlook. The forever resilient 80k lvl is finally fucked after CZ raped us again. What is interesting? The sell-off of brypto land is not so heavy as everyone was expecting which is fine but not when the correlation is picking up dramatically after
BTC-0.67%
The relative strength from alts lend is very obvious as you can see in the chart below. Imo we are at the key point for many alts: either bounce from here and go for decent run or corn going to pick the leader-ship and alts will be eventualy scope lower at the cottom multi-month
The biggest order-book depth bid since July for bitcoin:native
BTC-0.67%
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