DoubleEdge

People overcomplicate trading so much. Psychology, indicators, narratives, systems... all useful, but at the end of the day the only thing that pays is execution. You can have the perfect thesis and still lose if you enter badly, size badly or fail to manage the trade.

$HYPE update: Volume on Hyperliquid has been decreasing drastically during this whole move down, which is usually something I like to see when looking for potential bigger areas of interest. My main buy zone cluster is sitting around the $45-$40 area. I will leave some stink

$BTC update: A bunch of swing lows are sitting underneath price now, so I wouldn't be surprised to see some LTF reaction/bounce from these levels. The short opportunities on BTC over the last couple of days were honestly pretty clean. Shared the idea here on Twitter and was

Mfs will look you dead in the eyes, point to the 5m chart, and say relative strength on $ADA You cannot make this up.

$ADA Green?

You know this type of slow-grind price action on $ONDO and alts in general. It feels like it’s getting ready to pop, in my opinion. I’ll either ape into a pullback, or sit back and watch it fly without me.

The coins showing the most interesting weekly relative strength to me are: $UNI , $ONDO , $JUP , $LIT , $PUMP , $AAVE, $CRV, $ETH, $TRX, and $XMR. I’ll be digging deeper into these names and monitoring them closely. The Ethereum ecosystem remains the strongest, so either this is the

$MSFT crushed it: Azure growth at 43%, a massive $678B backlog, and smart CapEx discipline. $META got punished (-7%) over huge AI spending & an EPS miss. But core ads are printing, and at a forward P/E < 14, it’s looking incredibly cheap here.

GM, FOMC traders Hope everyone enjoyed the volatility.

would not be surprised to see capital eventually rotate back into: $NVDA $AMD $MU $SNDK $DELL $SKHY etc. Korean semiconductor supply-chain names The AI thesis did not disappear. Positioning became overcrowded and prices corrected.

I am not shorting SPX. I am waiting for a better long entry. My main area of interest is around 7,100, where yearly VWAP, key EMAs, and broader support begin to converge.

The levels are becoming interesting. AMD is approaching important local support, while MU and SNDK are reaching areas where risk/reward may begin to improve. But “it is down a lot” is not a complete thesis.

Before entering, define: Your holding period. Your invalidation level. Your stop. Shares vs. options vs. perps. Your maximum acceptable loss. Whether you will scale or enter at once. Calculate the risk before entering not afterward.

In a surprise-hike scenario, I would not rush to buy the first red candle. Some volatile AI and memory stocks could easily trade another 15–20% lower before finding real demand. Painful but potentially a major long opportunity.

The rotation out of AI and into software and consumer staples is obvious. Coca-Cola is near new highs while software investors celebrate a 5% recovery after an 80% drawdown. But rotations do not last forever.

SPX also looks heavy. The macro signal has turned red three times within the latest tight range, while momentum is slowly moving deeper into bearish territory. I would not be surprised to see a 3–4% pullback.

The regime is testing an important EMA for the fourth time since March. Repeated tests are not ideal. VIX is also back near 20 after Wednesday’s expiration and remains clearly above its EMA, suggesting volatility risk is still elevated.

A surprise rate hike could accelerate the flush into my preferred buying zones but my long thesis does not depend on a hike. Even without one, I am interested in scaling into AI and memory stocks. I simply want to wait for the market’s reaction, see which levels hold, and enter

The AI trade may not be dead. But the next move will probably punish anyone entering with leverage, no stop, and no clear thesis. NFA.

In my view, $BTC is trading in an interesting area with two potential setups. The first is an intraday long if price reclaims Monday’s level and the PWL, followed by a clean retest. That could open a move back toward the $64K–$65K supply zone. The second setup would be a short