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The area around 70,000 has become a new bottom, while 82,000 faces considerable resistance. With the nonfarm payrolls data exceeding expectations and concerns that the Fed may scare markets with rate hikes, a rate hike by Japan is already inevitable. The market will fluctuate for a while, and October has historically been a good time for a rally to begin.
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Previously, I kept noting that $60k could be treated as a bottom for buying. Now, around $77,000–$82k is a resistance zone, so reduce positions appropriately. The lower bottom has already shifted from $60k to $70k; if it retraces to around $70k, it would be a gift to buy the dip.
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The new Chair of the Federal Reserve, although planning to reduce (shrink) the Fed’s balance sheet, is restoring the U.S. reserve system to the levels of 2008. At that time, U.S. reserves were 43 billion, so there was no need to pay interest to commercial banks on reserves. Commercial banks also didn’t want to post more collateral, and instead only paid the minimum standard required under the “red line.”
After the financial crisis, the Fed wanted to enhance banks’ ability to withstand risk, so it paid interest on the collateral (i.e., reserves) that commercial banks deposited. As a result, maj
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Let me say two more things. Right now, global central banks are dumping U.S. Treasuries, and the Federal Reserve has also said it will reduce its balance sheet. If U.S. Treasuries are being sold, then the United States must definitely find a major buyer of U.S. Treasuries—Japan is no longer worth trusting. Therefore, in the future, the world’s number one buyer of U.S. Treasuries will definitely be stablecoin issuers.
So the U.S. will definitely find a way to expand the stablecoin market—increase the stablecoin use cases and broaden the investment targets. That’s why trading U.S. stock tokens w
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Kevin Wozz has taken office, and his strategy is to cut interest rates and shrink the balance sheet.
I believe that the so-called balance sheet reduction is also a case of overt tightening and covert easing—appearing to reduce the balance sheet on the surface while secretly expanding it.
The interest rate cut is indeed serious.
There is not much risk in a short-term correction; the previous 60k was the lowest point of the year.
Later, with the implementation of Federal Reserve policies and various interpretations, the market will still move upward, and the Nasdaq will continue to see l
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Nasdaq is already so impressive; if Bitcoin doesn't have a surge soon, it might be a bit shameless.
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The central bank is buying gold like crazy again. Those holding XAUT should keep holding; if you don't have it, stop watching and buy quickly.
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Recently, both Bitcoin and gold have performed well. Buy the dip at 60k and hold patiently until the next halving, the main bull run in 2027 and 2028.
Pay attention to gold tomorrow as the central bank announces continued increases in holdings.
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Nasdaq has already set a new high, and the crypto market has also hit a bottom—good times are coming. I previously kept stressing that $60,000 is the support level. I wonder how many people followed my advice and jumped in boldly.
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Last time Bitcoin pulled back from 76,000; this time, even 80,000 can’t hold it back. 60,000 is the bottom. Right now, the bottom is moving upward—waiting for Powell to retire. Bitcoin will steadily hold above 80,000, entering a 80,000–100,000 range for adjustment. Gold will also be choppy but trending upward, and it will rise back above 5,000 again.
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The central bank accelerated gold purchases in March. What are we afraid of? Wealthy people are also jumping in to buy the dip.
Just chatting about the market
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731 views04-03 13:00
00:56:14
The weekly bottom for XAUT gold has already appeared.
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Rumors say Trump is withdrawing troops and pulling out of the battlefield, triggering a rebound in the US stock market and Bitcoin, while oil and military stocks pull back. However, the US aircraft carriers have not yet withdrawn, and some carriers are on their way to fill the gap. Is Trump just stalling, trying to replenish ammunition? Who knows, he doesn't speak with certainty.
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Last time during the live broadcast, I recommended everyone to buy Lockheed Martin, and lmton also made a profit. This military order boom has led to a significant increase in performance. There's no reason not to buy military industry tokens.
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Last night at 9 PM, I did a live broadcast. It was part of an invited live event, and fans who missed the live can watch the replay. My view is that last night's non-farm payroll data was definitely very poor, which helps ease people's concerns about inflation caused by rising oil prices, including the CPI next Wednesday, which should also be very low. This is another hedge against inflation worries brought by high oil prices. Additionally, the US plans to backstop shipping insurance companies to ensure smooth shipping. The series of measures, including India's purchase of Russian oil, aim to
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On the noon of the 4th, I predicted that Bitcoin would fall because Nasdaq reached a resistance level and formed a bearish candle that day. Although Bitcoin had a bullish candle that day, it hadn't reached the point of activation and was still oscillating at the bottom, but $60,000 remains the bottom. Gold retreated, so I bought gradually.
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The dip in XAUT corrections is a buying opportunity. Hong Kong and Shanghai are collaborating to create a gold trading market, and there are recent tax reduction policies for overseas investments in Hong Kong gold. Over the past three years, 2,000 tons are to be purchased. The struggle for precious metals pricing rights has been ongoing. Recently, the US-Iran conflict led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, causing a short-term rise in the US dollar. The timing of interest rate cuts has been postponed, but rate hikes are unlikely. As the war prolongs and oil prices peak, funds will still f
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xaut rebounds after falling, the Federal Reserve won't cut rates but also won't raise them, gold still dips, so buy the dip
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On March 1st, Trump mentioned in a phone interview with the Daily Mail that Iran is a major country, and U.S. military actions against Iran will last for 4 weeks. Therefore, the recent rise and fall of XAUT will reach new highs again as the war continues for 4 weeks. Buying on dips remains a viable strategy.
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