When will OpenAI go public? Prediction market capital bets on 2026 Q4 as the key window
Markets form a collective judgment of the probability of a specific event through funding-driven game theory. On the topic of OpenAI IPO timing, Gate’s prediction market provides a quantifiable window for observation. As of June 4, 2026, the probability distribution of market funds for OpenAI completing its IPO before different time points is as follows: 7% before August 31, 35% before September 30, and 73% before December 31. This probability distribution shows