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What is trade expectancy? Why does it reflect a strategy’s long-term profitability better than win rate alone?
In cryptocurrency trading, a high win rate does not necessarily mean making money, and a low win rate does not necessarily mean losing money. What really matters is how much profit or loss each trade generates on average when you consistently trade by the same rules. That is the core meaning of trade expectancy.
First, what is trade expectancy?
Trade expectancy (EV) is a metric that combines win rate, average profit, and average loss to estimate the long-term average result per trade.
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Bro, how much pressure do you wake up carrying every day?
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[[ NEW STREAMER ] MARKET UPDATE
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U.S. stocks rallied last night, but semiconductors were singled out and hammered😮‍💨
The S&P 500 rose 1.6%, while Micron $MU , SanDisk $SNDK , and Marvell all fell more than 7%, and Nvidia wasn't spared either
I think this sell-off needs to be viewed in the context of the U.S. midterm elections:
The Democrats won the Texas gubernatorial election, and the incoming governor had previously explicitly called for a pause on approvals for new data centers until stricter regulatory rules are introduced
This is a major shift:
In the past, AI chips were priced with an implicit assumption: tech giants
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MU-0.63%
SNDK-0.18%
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After the earlier bullish move reached the 4140 target, I also provided a high-level short setup. Shorting near 4140, the market came under pressure and turned downward, pulling back as expected for a correction. There were opportunities in both directions. It fell as low as 4109, giving those who followed 31 points of profit! $XAU ‌
XAU+0.38%
When USDT can be frozen, we should rethink: Who really owns digital assets?
Recently, news of USDT being frozen has once again sparked discussion in the crypto community.
Many people entered the blockchain world because they believed in an idea: assets should be under their own control, transactions should be more transparent, and individuals should not depend too heavily on any single institution.
But reality also reminds us of an important question:
When the digital assets you hold can still have their transfers restricted by a centralized issuer, what do you truly own?
To be clear, we shoul
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SanDisk is retesting its late-July level for the second time. Would you get in?
It’s doing an 8-for-1 stock split on the 20th, bringing the post-split price to just over 100.
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SNDK-7.93%
🇺🇸JACK DORSEY’S BLOCK FACES $764 MILLION DOJ SETTLEMENT! 🏦💰
Block has reached an agreement in principle with the U.S. Department of Justice over alleged anti-money laundering compliance failures.
↳ Proposed net payment:$ 764 MILLION💵
↳ Total settlement amount: Approximately $964 MILLION 💰
↳ The agreement would defer prosecution for three years. ⚖️
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How can you identify market conditions? Why might the same trading strategy perform very differently in bull, bear, and sideways markets?
In cryptocurrency trading, many people look for a fixed strategy that can continue to generate profits no matter how market conditions change. But markets do not always operate in the same way. When trends, volatility, and capital flows change, the same strategy can perform quite differently.
First, what is a market regime?
A market regime refers to the overall characteristics of market behavior during a particular period. It is typically classified as a bul
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Imagine qualifying for a privacy projects airdrop by handing over ur entire financial history
id want @primus_labs to make that unnecessary if an airdrop happens
prove the required activity
return whether i qualify
leave everything unrelated out of it
using selective proofs for the distribution itself would make the privacy message feel very real
no idea whether thats their plan but that would get my attention
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AIRDROP+0.00%
$BTC Yesterday’s violent Bitcoin rally was essentially a concentrated short squeeze, with big players wiping out short positions in one fell swoop.
The market is now in a high-level sideways consolidation phase. In the short term, beware of another spike designed to lure in longs; don’t let short-term gains throw you off pace.
The short term is a battle in a choppy market, but the broader structure hasn’t changed. The long-term outlook remains bearish, and it’s worth patiently waiting for opportunities after the bull trap ends.#Gate推出行业首个资金安全证明
BTC-0.65%
If the #crypto market had a soundtrack, what would yours be?
🎵 Calm jazz — I'm not panicking.
🎵 Action movie music — It's getting intense.
🎵 Gospel — I'm trusting the process.
🎵 Comedy soundtrack — This market is something else!
Choose your soundtrack 😂
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11.5 Midday Market Breakdown.
$BTC View:
Is this BTC rally over? It doesn't look over yet, since MACD below has not shown a divergence. So for now, avoid trying to call the top and short. BTC is currently in a continuation consolidation after the rise, with a range of 81243-79792. The hourly W bottom on BTC is confirmed. The consolidation zone outlined in red saw a structural break, which led to the subsequent rally to 81000. Don't focus on the news; just read the chart, and it will give you the answer you want. BTC broke out of the consolidation zone outlined in red, ending the hourly downtre
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ETH-1.26%
[NEW STREAMER]market update
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$BTC
BTC View Update:
A strong rebound on the lower timeframes has pushed price back above 80K. This rally has honestly caught me a bit by surprise. I missed this long rebound, mainly because I thought the drop hadn't gone deep enough!
Looking at the overall structure, key resistance hasn't been broken yet, so the structure hasn't shifted. What happens next is the real focus. After consolidating, will price push higher to test resistance at 82K, or will it just make a sharp reversal and chop around in a volatile, choppy market?
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BTC-0.67%
$UNI Is Moving Higher on Low Volume—How Long Can This Move Last?
$UNI is currently priced at 7.667, up 4.355519259561724% over 24 hours, with an intraday high of 7.82 and a low of 7.255. The 1-hour and 4-hour trends are both leaning bullish, so at first glance, the direction appears consistently upward. But the 1-hour volume ratio is just 0.01884556425460747, indicating extremely low trading participation. The price has moved, but volume hasn’t followed. At times like this, focusing only on the color of the candlesticks can easily lead you to overestimate the move’s staying power.
The directio
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UNI+3.05%
Things are moving exactly as expected.
Sweep of the lows + bullish divs, right into the 200d EMA, and the elections are now behind us.
Feeling optimistic about the future.
Could see some more chop around here, but expecting new all-time highs for $BTC in 2027.
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BTC-0.67%
Exclusive Perks for New and Existing Users, Share $25,000 in SPCXG https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6724?ref=VLARBF1YAG&ref_type=132
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SPCXG+0.22%
$DOGE Currently trading at 0.07689, up 2.21% over 24H (0.0744–0.07837). 1H momentum is strong: RSI is 52.81, and the current price is above the 1H EMA20 at 0.07654. 4H momentum is strong: RSI is 63.53, and the current price is above the 4H EMA20 at 0.07586. The 1H volume ratio is 0.29, indicating low participation. If the price holds above the 0.07837 resistance, watch for continuation; if it breaks below the 0.0744 support, short-term momentum may weaken. In the next review, check whether 0.07837 holds and whether the price can recover after losing 0.0744. With the volume ratio at 0.29x, a br
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DOGE-0.22%
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