Post
Featured

“BTC’s Final Bull Trap—The Free Fall Will Be Unimaginable!”



Although BTC rebounded after falling yesterday, the daily chart shows no change in trend. First, look at the CCI: after breaking below the zero line, it never looked back. Believe that this is the start of the downtrend. The daily MA120 has also continued to break lower, making the daily bull-bear divide very clear.

On the Ichimoku chart, we’re waiting for the lagging span to break down completely and confirm the confluence.

It’s clear that unless the daily candle closes above 74800, this is the start of a downtrend. Give up the wishful thinking—the only thing to believe in now is a crash!

BTC is now pulling off its final bull trap. As the market’s long-short ratio keeps climbing, the trend could kick in at any moment. So stay cautious about going long here, and take the long button off the table for now.

BTC’s short-term resistance is at 742-744, corresponding to 2090-2100 for ETH. Don’t go all in at these levels, because this bull trap could get even nastier: price may take out the liquidity above before falling. If a 15-minute candle body holds above the previous swing high before the entry level, exit temporarily, then we can discuss short-entry levels.

The bearish view on storage remains unchanged on the weekly chart, but for the best entry opportunity, wait until late afternoon or evening. I’ll take it easy and skip updating this for now; crypto is the focus today.

In summary, BTC could start a downtrend this week, followed by consecutive large bearish daily candles. Be cautious about going long and trying to catch the bottom. I’m not guessing any bottom levels for now—just waiting for price action to play out, and I won’t be placing any long limit orders on the left side of the chart!

If my analysis is useful to you, don’t forget to leave a free like and follow. It’s the greatest support for me! #Gate全球合规版图扩展
View Original
This page contains third-party content and does not constitute any advice, nor does it represent Gate's endorsement of such views. For details, please see disclaimer.
BTCBTC-0.67%
ETHETH-1.26%


Add a comment
Add a comment

Comment 6
LiquidationWatcher
The long-short ratio keeps rising. What does the liquidation map look like now? Are whales stacking orders around 742?
RateArbTracker
74800 hasn't reclaimed this key level yet. Are you already short, or waiting for confirmation?
LeverageDamper
After deducting the long leg, should I also adjust the delta of my options hedge position to neutral?
SandwichChef
742-744? This liquidity is scattered like chopped scallions; it's baiting longs, and one more leg up will get them cooked.
AirdropAscetic
For the assessment that the Chikou Span breaking below completes the confluence, are your Ichimoku settings the default 9/26/52, or have you adjusted them?
PerpKakashi
CCI broke below the zero line and hasn't returned; I've copied this strategy, with the stop-loss set at 74801.