The U.S. is set to release CPI data at 9:30 tonight, but this time neither the overall figure nor the annual rate will be published. Honestly, this kind of “half-hidden” release is pretty rare, and the market is somewhat in the dark.
Still, let’s go with the forecast of 0.2. If core CPI really comes in at 0.2, that would be good news for U.S. stocks and gold. The logic is simple: core CPI holding steady at 0.2 suggests inflation isn’t accelerating, which would ease the Fed’s urgency to raise rates. The market fears an upside surprise most; as long as there’s no shock, investors will feel comfortable moving into risk assets. U.S. stocks will probably be able to breathe a sigh of relief, and gold, a long-established inflation hedge, should benefit too.
That said, a forecast is just a forecast, and no one can speak with certainty before the data is out. The 0.2 figure looks moderate, but even a slight deviation could trigger an immediate market reaction. So at 9:30 tonight, let’s keep a close eye on CPI and see whether it delivers. The logic is clear: if 0.2 holds, stocks and gold will cheer; if it misses, that’s another story.
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