December rate hike odds about to hit the ceiling? If US CPI beats expectations again, BTC and US stocks could both take a hit!

The Fed hasn’t even met yet, but markets are already getting a head start!
US October CPI is due on November 10. Market bets on a December rate hike are already quite high, and recent strong employment data have added fuel to expectations of tighter policy.
If CPI beats expectations again, markets may further price in continued Fed rate hikes. The dollar could strengthen, Treasury yields could rise, and risk assets would naturally come under pressure.
US stocks, especially tech stocks, could face pressure from higher borrowing costs and valuation concerns. BTC could see selling pressure amid tightening liquidity.
Gold could also lose favor in the short term, as a stronger dollar and higher real yields are usually not gold’s favorite scenario.
But don’t rush to call a bear market! If the upside inflation surprise is mainly driven by energy, while core inflation does not worsen significantly, the market reaction could be relatively muted. #每周来晒 and #美国10月CPI即将公布
Remember: Markets trade on the gap between expectations and reality, not just the number. What’s truly scary isn’t 3.7%, but results coming in worse than investors imagined!$AMD