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When it comes to U.S. CPI, the easiest mistake is to bet on a one-way move in advance.
At 21:30 on November 10, the U.S. October CPI will be released. The market is watching for a year-over-year reading of 3.7%; if the figure comes in above expectations, bets on a December rate hike may heat up further.
But investors would do well to prepare three possible scenarios first.
Scenario one: CPI comes in significantly above expectations. The dollar and Treasury yields may rise, putting pressure on BTC and U.S. stocks, while gold may also face short-term headwinds.
Scenario two: CPI meets expectations. Since the market has already priced it in, trading could be choppy; the key will be core inflation and existing market positioning.
Scenario three: CPI comes in below expectations. Rate hike concerns may ease, giving BTC and U.S. stocks a chance to rebound, while gold may also benefit from a weaker dollar.
One more important reminder: don’t focus only on the year-over-year figure; month-over-month data and core CPI are also worth watching.
For everyday investors, managing leverage and avoiding chasing rallies or selling into dips matter more than guessing every data release correctly.
After all, the market creates opportunities every day, but your capital can only take so many hits. #每周来晒 and #美国10月CPI即将公布
Tomorrow night, don’t just watch the action—understand where the money is flowing!
$BTC