Post
Featured

“BTC’s Ultimate Bull Trap? We’ll Find Out This Week! Is Storage at a Bottom?”



Yesterday, I warned of a possible fake breakdown in BTC and gave a way to go long: a large bullish candle body quickly reclaims the level, leaves a fair value gap, then enter on a retest of the gap. That is the ICT 2022 model entry. I wonder whether you’ve been able to put it into practice. The logic is the same for longs and shorts.

Now that BTC has made a direct V-shaped reversal, has the daily-chart logic changed? First, on the 3-day chart, the price has reached the midline, consistent with the narrow-range logic. Although it has made a V-shaped reversal on the daily chart, it has not broken through the 82K level. Whether the midline can act as support on the daily chart remains to be seen. And until the daily chart gets a candle-body close above MA50, the shoulder-pattern logic still holds.

So, if you short again in the short term, there are two ways to enter on the right side: first, a false breakout above yesterday’s 81188 high; second, a candle-body break below 79900 to complete an hourly-chart double top and provide an entry. ETH follows the same logic.

Storage plunged again yesterday. After the open, we took a long on SanDisk at 1070 for a rebound, but couldn’t keep holding the position. Here, we should also try to trade from the right side: on the 15-minute chart, focus on 1050. If price closes above it with a candle body and then retests 1050, you can go long—same logic as the 1100 setup on the 3rd. If it continues lower, support won’t appear until 850.

Micron first bounced from the 790-795 support I mentioned yesterday. The final support here is around 750. The daily-chart support to watch is still 650 (this possibility cannot be ruled out).

In summary, the only BTC entry here is a right-side short. The daily chart has not closed above MA50 with a candle body, so the overall shoulder-pattern logic still holds. With storage continuing to fall, the bottom-fishing plan has to be put on hold. Don’t rule out the daily support levels mentioned above: 850 for SanDisk and 650 for Micron. #BTC重返8万
View Original
This page contains third-party content and does not constitute any advice, nor does it represent Gate's endorsement of such views. For details, please see disclaimer.
BTCBTC-0.67%
ETHETH-1.26%

  • 1

Add a comment
Add a comment

Comment
DivCalendar
14 minutes ago
Storage is really getting crushed. I sold SanDisk at just over 1,070 too—I couldn't hold on at all.
0View Original
RugDetective
23 minutes ago
With shoulder logic, only the right side works; the left side can trap traders
0View Original
DiamondMeme
25 minutes ago
81188 is a false-breakout short, burn this level into your memory
0View Original
DrawdownHunter
29 minutes ago
Until MA50 is broken, I can indeed only be bearish, even though I'm nervous inside
0View Original
SybilHunter
34 minutes ago
Wait for a candlestick body breakout before turning bullish; for now, just hang on
0View Original
JokerTx
35 minutes ago
Ethereum follows Bitcoin—the logic is the same, but the volatility is more extreme
0View Original
BrakeDriver
42 minutes ago
If an M-top forms on the hourly chart, bearish pressure will be substantial
0View Original
ArtCollectorX
42 minutes ago
The storage sector has had a brutal year; buying the dip turned into getting wiped out
0View Original
MinimalPosition
42 minutes ago
First Review
Enter on the fair value gap retest—I’ve memorized this mantra
0View Original
View More