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The “Davidson window” is about capability, not intent, and that distinction is crucial. When it comes to the Taiwan Strait, having the capability doesn’t mean action is imminent; intent is the variable. What we really need to watch are signals of intent, not equipment inventories. Do you think this window has closed, or is it still open?

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CANSLIMFollower
an hour ago
Intent is the hardest to quantify; does the frequency of military exercises count as a signal?
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FloatingTeacupClub
2 hours ago
The window theory itself is part of strategic ambiguity
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DiscordExplorer
2 hours ago
A signal of intent? That depends on whether the hotline between the White House and Zhongnanhai is working
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RateGlide
2 hours ago
Even Davidson himself later changed his position; the window theory is a moving target
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GasWatcher
2 hours ago
The Taiwan Strait has no on/off switch, only a dimmer
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TxBurrow
2 hours ago
The intention suddenly becomes clear right before you act; before that, it’s all noise
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KeyOnBlackVelvet
2 hours ago
This window is for the U.S. Congress to see, not us
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ChainStalker
2 hours ago
Equipment inventories are easy to count; who can see what leaders are thinking
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PositionYogi
2 hours ago
Stop fixating on hardware; look at whether the diplomatic rhetoric has softened
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Satoshi'sGhost
2 hours ago
First Review
I think whether it gets shut down depends on the results of next year’s election
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