#广场交易达人 #美国中期选举今日投票 #美股财报季 #作手分析
🔥 Anthropic hits a new low at 1647.2! IPO valuation shrinks—is it an opportunity or a trap?
Trade focus: $ANTHROPIC $OPENAI $NVDA
It is now November 3, 2026, and today I saw on GATE that Anthropic's price hit another new low, touching 1647.2.
Recently, discussions about Anthropic's upcoming IPO have been intense, with market rumors putting its valuation ceiling as high as $2 trillion and its floor at $1.5 trillion. Faced with the recent price drop, many people have started to waver.
But I want to say: I remain firmly bullish on it.
Today, let's examine the truth behind this using the latest fundamental news, valuation logic, and the macro environment.
📊 I. Are Lower Valuation Expectations Due to Weakening Fundamentals or a Broader Market Drag?
According to The Wall Street Journal, last week's tech stock plunge is changing the valuation expectations of institutional investors planning to participate in Anthropic's IPO.
Over the past few days, these investors have told Anthropic and its advisers that its valuation at an IPO later this month should be between $1.5 trillion and $1.6 trillion, far below the nearly $2 trillion level discussed in the market previously.
This is not because anything has gone wrong at Anthropic, but because of the broader tech market downturn:
• The Nasdaq fell about 10% from its high last week, nearing correction territory.
• Tech giants suffered successive sharp declines, with Intel plunging 29% in a single day and Alphabet losing about $500 billion in market value after its earnings report.
Amid this pessimism, investors are concerned about excessive AI exposure, political resistance facing data centers, and when hyperscale cloud providers will be able to turn AI investment into profits.
💡 II. Conservative Pricing Could Leave More Room for Gains After the Listing
Anthropic has not yet finalized its valuation target or the size of the share offering.
But some investors expect its CFO, Krishna Rao, to adopt a conservative pricing strategy, prioritizing a substantial first-day gain for IPO buyers.
Anthropic is reportedly planning to begin its roadshow as early as next week, aiming to start trading in the week before Thanksgiving.
I believe that “conservative pricing” in the primary market is actually positive for the secondary market. A valuation pulled back from $2 trillion as excess froth comes out reduces the risk of the stock falling below its IPO price on opening, leaving long-term investors room to get in and make gains.
🛡️ III. Strong Fundamentals: Secures Partnership with the Singapore Government
Setting aside sentiment-driven mispricing, Anthropic's fundamentals remain exceptionally solid.
Anthropic said in a statement that it has signed a partnership agreement with the Singapore government.
The two sides will collaborate on AI safety, security, model evaluation, and research.
Against a backdrop of increasingly strict global AI regulation, securing the backing of a national government proves that its core strength and leading position in “AI safety” remain unshakable.
🎯 IV. My Trading Plan: The More It Falls, the More Bullish I Am
In my view, the current price of 1647.2 on GATE is a “golden buying opportunity” created by macro sentiment.
My trading principle has always been: don't let short-term market panic throw you off course.
1. Short-term sentiment is driving the valuation down, creating a buying opportunity based on a mispricing.
2. Medium- and long-term fundamentals remain solid, and the CFO's conservative strategy should support the stock after listing.
I'll keep monitoring it and buy on dips once the structure stabilizes, waiting for the IPO to trigger a reversal in sentiment.
How will you act on this new low?
A. Stay firmly bullish and buy on dips 🚀
B. Valuation is down; exit and wait on the sidelines 📉
C. Wait for the IPO to launch, then chase the breakout ☕
D. Only trade BTC; stay away from AI 🛡️
Share your plan in the comments! 👇
(The above is my personal review and analysis, for discussion only and not investment advice.)$ANTHROPIC