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The most interesting thing about oil prices is that futures prices and real-world costs are two completely different things. When supply-side news breaks, the market is often a beat behind—it trades on expectations, not spot prices. Volatility usually contracts ahead of the U.S. open as the market waits for direction. The moment bullish news gets priced in is often the short-term peak, so don’t rush to chase it. Let’s see how things turn out over the weekend and compare notes then.