1、People who emphasize their win rate usually have absolutely terrible risk/reward ratios—they’d love to take profit at 0.1% and set a 20% stop loss...

2. Those who emphasize how conservative they are, even saying they often miss the move, are basically “phantom entry” gurus. For example, with Bitcoin at 70k, they call for 50k; at 50k, they call for 30k. When they’re short, it’s 70k calling for 90k, then 80k calling for 100k. The price never reaches their target before reversing, but since they got the direction right, they can still say, “My analysis was fine—I was just too ‘conservative,’ so I didn’t get in.”

3. There are only two kinds of people who take big positions while shilling shitcoin altcoins: 1) They know nothing about liquidity. They’re beginners who got lucky gambling; most of the time, they manage to guess right or avoid getting trapped. 2) They’re working with the project team or shady market makers, using their “followers as cannon fodder.” Their followers can’t say anything, because on the surface, he lost more. In reality, his position was always just there to serve as a “beacon.”