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The lingering effects of last night's hawkish Fed decision remain, and tonight's main event is the Fed's key inflation gauge—the U.S. September core PCE. The data will directly influence market expectations for the pace of rate cuts, and volatility is likely to increase further.
On the 5-minute chart, the moving averages have shifted from a bullish alignment to turning down and acting as resistance. The MACD red bars are contracting rapidly, and the two lines show signs of a bearish crossover. The early-morning spike failed to hold its gains, making this a pullback after running into resistance. Short-term bullish momentum is fading, while the broader trend remains in a wide range, with no clear one-way move yet.
Trading strategy: The resistance zone is 4068–4082. Consider scaling into short positions if prices rebound into this zone, targeting 4038 and 4020. Place protection above 4082; support below is at 4024.
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