Tonight's Fed decision: the market broadly expects rates to remain unchanged in October, but that doesn't mean monetary policy has turned dovish. There are two key things to watch tonight.

First, watch whether Warsh signals a more cautious policy stance. Inflationary pressures remain, and if the Fed indicates that rates need to stay high for longer, the dollar and Treasury yields could support a rebound, putting pressure on BTC.

Second, watch whether expectations for a December rate cut continue to cool. The market had been expecting a rate cut, but if the Fed's post-meeting stance proves less dovish than anticipated, expectations could fall short. Even if there is no rate hike tonight, BTC is not necessarily going to rise.

Conversely, if the policy statement is not as hawkish as expected and concerns about future interest rates ease, BTC could rebound and rise. #每周来晒