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Recent summary:
49 wins and 4 losses on subscription trades; 4 losses on public trades, with wins not counted
Shorted the top twice in a row (shorted 2748–2776 and 2574–2585)
Also, senior traders whose follower count is 8 times mine are welcome to follow and subscribe
Trading requires intense focus and is extremely mentally draining, but hard work definitely pays off. Balance work and rest.
Pushed up to 2579, then fell back to 2407 — don't chase longs. 2520 was reclaimed and then lost again; that's a false breakout.
The 4H range is 2408–2777. The rebound topped at 2579 and didn't even touch the range midpoint at 2592. This is a weak rebound, not a reversal.
The volume ratio of 1.5 is real, but the increased volume failed to break above the midpoint — a high-volume rebound within the range looks more like a pump-and-dump than accumulation and recovery.
2520 has changed from a "confirmation level" to a "resistance level": if it cannot reclaim it today, yesterday's breakout was simply a fakeout to lure in longs.
Short: enter if the rebound to 2520–2530 fails to hold, with a stop-loss above 2555.
First target 2474 (previous low), then 2407 (range low); if 2407 breaks on heavy volume, the volume-range projection points to 2008.
Invalidation condition: a high-volume 4H close above 2520, followed directly by an attack on the previous high at 2579. At that moment, the words "false breakout" are void, and I will admit my mistake and reverse my position.
By the way, to report the figures: 49 wins and 4 losses on subscription trades, for a 92.5% win rate. Public trades currently have 4 losses, with the wins still being counted — I show all losses on public trades and don't cherry-pick what I post.
Do you think 2520 will be resistance or support today?#美国9月CPI即将公布