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Gold Medal Finance🌍 Macro Outlook |
The root cause of this pullback is that money has become more expensive
Bitcoin has been hovering around 83k recently,
Don't just watch the K-line; look up at the broader environment:
1️⃣ The Fed's rate hike has taken effect, raising funding costs and pressing pause on the rally previously driven by liquidity;
2️⃣ Funds are retreating—spot BTC and ETH ETFs saw combined net outflows of over $1.2 billion in a single week, while October redemptions have surpassed $1 billion, signaling short-term institutional caution;
3️⃣ Miners have been selling coins heavily over the past week to lock in profits, increasing short-term supply pressure in the market.
But one detail is worth noting: The number of days with extreme volatility hit a record this year, yet the average trading range narrowed from around 10% to 7%. This shows that the market is not collapsing, but is gradually becoming more "seasoned" amid high volatility.
‼️My view: Until the macro headwinds ease, a smooth one-way trend will be unlikely, with the market more likely to consolidate through volatility.