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#BTCBreaksThrough$86,000 $BTC $ZEC #ShareWeekly
#PlanYourTradesThisWeek
GM ☕ The headline says BTC broke through 86K. My chart says BTC tagged the 86.7K to 87.4K zone, got rejected, and is now back around 84.3K. Both can be true, they're just a few hours apart. So instead of arguing with a headline, let me put my two live plans side by side: BTC vs ZEC, round by round.
Round 1: Structure
BTC: Price has been stuck inside a box for days. The ceiling is the 86,769 to 87,457 supply zone (high at 87,380), and every push into it has been sold. The floor is the 82.7K key level. The latest drop came straight out of that ceiling, and price is now sitting on the 84,048 to 83,815 support strip. This is the side scenario I had marked on my chart: rejection at resistance, then a slide toward the lower levels. It's playing out, not surprising me.
ZEC: Completely different picture. ZEC sold off hard from its high near 1,696 and is now about 22% below it, around 1,320. But it's sitting right inside a retest zone (roughly 1,250 to 1,300) where it already bounced from before, with a liquidity sweep wick marked just under 1,290. That's a market that already flushed and is now trying to base.
Round 1 winner: ZEC for structure clarity, because it's at a defined zone instead of in the middle of a range.
Round 2: Risk to reward
ZEC plan (running for 2 days now):
Entry 1: 1,322.03
Entry 2: 1,289
SL: 1,257.3
Target: 1,709.93
Here's why I like it: from the first entry, risk is about 65 points and reward is about 388, so roughly 6R. From the second entry, risk is only about 32 and reward is about 421, roughly 13R. If both fill, the average entry is around 1,305 and it's still about 8R. Stop sits just under the zone and the lows. That means I don't need to win often, I need to be patient and keep the loss small.
BTC plan: Reward here is smaller and the structure is tighter, so the R:R is simply less exciting. That's fine, BTC is the one I use as a compass, not as my main bet.
Round 2 winner: ZEC, by a wide margin.
Round 3: How much patience each one needs
BTC needs the most patience. I'm not forcing anything in the middle of the range.
Bounce long: 82,988 to 82,462 (golden ratio zone, with the 82,732 key level inside it)
Stop: 4H close below 82,300
TP1: 84,000, TP2: 85,500
If 82.3K breaks cleanly, I don't catch it. The next stops are 80,121 and 80,094, and I'd rather wait there than guess
Upside version: a 4H close above 85,826 then 86,769 would flip it back to bullish, with 87,380 next
ZEC needs discipline on the stop. If price closes under 1,257 the plan is dead, and I take the loss without arguing with it. No moving stops, no "one more candle".
The link between them
ZEC doesn't live in a vacuum. If BTC loses 82.3K and sells off, ZEC's retest zone gets tested harder, and my stop may get hit even if the setup was good. That's why I keep sizes small on ZEC and let BTC's key level act as my warning light. If BTC holds 82.7K, ZEC's plan stays healthy.
My perspective, my plan, my status
View: BTC is in a pullback inside a bigger range, not a trend break yet. ZEC is a patient reward-heavy setup sitting on its zone. Plan: both running with fixed stops, nothing added at random, and no emotional entries in between. Status: calm, orders sitting at levels, spot untouched. If it hits my stop, it hits my stop.
Final scoreboard: BTC for safety, ZEC for reward. Which side of the table do you sit on today?