#每周来晒 #Where should idle money go when the bull-bear direction is undecided?

My approach is to set rules in advance and follow them when the time comes, rather than making decisions on the spot.

Step one: Confirm the signal before taking action. I don't want to build a full position before the direction is confirmed. If the market turns bullish, ETH will be the first asset I watch—not because it will necessarily rise the most, but because its price action often confirms whether the market's risk appetite has truly returned.

Step two: Rotate positions in stages instead of going all-in at once. My current framework is to keep most of my stablecoins in Yu'ebao flexible savings and GUSD, maintaining returns while preserving liquidity. Once ETH breaks through key resistance and its momentum persists, I will first establish a small position, then gradually add after the trend is confirmed.

Step three: Keep sufficient reserves for pullbacks and unexpected events. I think this is particularly important. Strong rallies almost always experience pullbacks, and having enough cash on hand gives you a second chance. Keeping reserves is not about fear; it allows you to stay calm while everyone else is chasing the rise.

Step four: Set clear discipline not to chase. If an asset has already surged by more than 30%, I won't chase it. I will wait for a pullback, wait for confirmation, and wait until I truly understand the logic behind the rally before acting. I would rather miss the early part of a rally than risk investing all my funds before the trend becomes clear.

This plan may not be right, but at least it keeps me from panicking when a real breakout arrives.