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ARP Digital partner Yusuf Fakhro noted funding rates drifting toward zero, futures premiums below 5% and open interest stalled.
Thin leverage means no pile of forced sellers waiting to be liquidated. It also means nothing anchors price, so each headline pushes Bitcoin further than it should.
Last week showed it. Bitcoin ripped 5% to $81,000 Thursday on softer Fed signals, then gave the entire move back within hours when strong payrolls revived hike expectations. Monday's move to $79,427 and Tuesday's slide to $76,000 is the same pattern compressed.
The overnight pullback was marked by taker selling in futures, according to Marex, with open interest hovering below 680,000 $BTC