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$ETH
Shandi's position at 1580 hit take-profit successfully, reducing the position
Short crude oil on rallies; never chase highs
1.［Early morning Beijing time on September 17 (Thursday): Fed September rate decision + dot plot + Chair's speech
• Current market pricing: over 90% probability of a 25bp rate hike
Key points: ① whether it actually hikes rates; ② the dot plot's guidance on the 2026–2027 interest-rate path; ③ whether Powell's speech is hawkish or dovish.
2.［September 15: U.S. Senate vote on the stablecoin CLARITY Act
A key event in crypto regulation, the bill's passage or rejection could cause a short-term sentiment shock, with either positive or negative implications possible.
3［. September 18: Bank of Japan interest-rate decision
Changes in the yen and global carry-trade funds could indirectly affect liquidity in risk assets.
4. ［September 19: U.S. stock quadruple witching day (concentrated expiration of options and futures)
• Institutions will rebalance positions in large volumes, and U.S. stocks and risk assets may experience sharp volatility, which will spill over into the crypto market.