Fed Decision: Hawkish or Dovish? Another Hike This Year?

The upcoming Fed decision may be less important than the message that comes with it.

A 25 bps hike is increasingly expected, so the bigger question is what the Fed signals about the months ahead.

If policymakers keep the door open for another hike, yields and the dollar could remain strong, putting short-term pressure on $BTC , stocks and other risk assets.

But if the Fed signals that September could be the final hike and future moves will remain data-dependent, markets could interpret that as a dovish shift.

For crypto, I’ll be watching three things closely:

• Fed guidance on another hike
• Inflation and labor-market concerns
• Powell’s tone after the decision

The rate decision may already be priced in. The real move could come from the guidance.

No FOMO. Let the market confirm the direction first.

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