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CLARITY Act Signed by 2026 Probability Rises to 30% on Polymarket, Up from 12% on August 31
The probability of the CLARITY Act being signed into law by the end of 2026 has surged to 30% on Polymarket, up dramatically from just 12% on August 31, as traders bet on a favorable legislative outcome for the crypto industry. The CLARITY Act is a crucial piece of legislation that aims to establish clear jurisdictional boundaries between the SEC and CFTC for digital assets, providing the regulatory certainty the crypto industry has long sought. The sharp increase in probability follows recent White House crypto summits, intensifying lobbying efforts by major exchanges, and growing bipartisan support for a comprehensive market structure framework. The POLYMARKET token, which powers the decentralized prediction market, jumped 12.25% as traders positioned themselves for the potential legislative breakthrough. If passed, the CLARITY Act could unlock a wave of institutional capital previously sidelined by regulatory ambiguity, fundamentally reshaping the U.S. crypto landscape.
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