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Polymarket's probability that the CLARITY Act (H.R. 3633) will be signed into law in 2026 rose to 30%, recovering from a low of 12% on August 31. According to Foresight News, the market's cumulative trading volume is about $15.67 million.
The market rules say the event resolves to yes if the CLARITY Act passes both chambers of the U.S. Congress and is signed into law by January 1, 2027, 12:59, and to no otherwise. The main data sources are the U.S. Congress legislative tracking page and other official or authoritative information. Updated rules state that the bill will be treated as signed into law if it is enacted through any mechanism, whether or not the president signs it personally.#CoinDeskRevealsGateRWAPerpetualsTop3Globally #SenateReleasesNewCLARITYAct