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August CPI came in hotter than expected, pushing the market’s probability of a #FedRateHike next week to around 90%. Oil prices surged before pulling back, while U.S. stocks instead rebounded on Friday.
Bitcoin surged and then pulled back, now trading sideways around 77,200. Ethereum is relatively stronger, with ETH ETFs seeing large single-day inflows, while BTC ETFs are still seeing outflows this week. The decisions from Monday to Wednesday next week will be a common catalyst.
This round of rate-hike expectations appears to have been largely priced in, so the market has remained relatively stable.
But it cannot be ruled out that this is a smokescreen—when the decision is actually announced, a major bearish candle could still trigger panic and collapse.
So stay cautious and objective, and don’t go all-in.
The usual approach remains unchanged: add to your positions when there is a pullback or decline—add a little on small dips and more on major drops.
Viewed over a longer timeline, the odds of winning and risk-reward ratio for adding to positions now are both not bad.
Are you waiting for the decision before taking action, or will you start buying in batches according to your plan now?