Don’t lie flat over the weekend—keep an eye on these things:

① The FOMC meets Monday night—there’s an 85% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike, which is already priced in. The key isn’t whether they hike, but whether Powell sounds hawkish or dovish. Hawkish = continued pressure; dovish = a rebound signal. The decision comes out at 2 a.m. Tuesday, so keep your hands off the buttons during the day Monday.
② The GCC and Iran will hold talks Monday afternoon—if they reach a deal, oil prices will fall, inflation will ease, and it will benefit BTC; if talks collapse, oil could surge back to $100 and the market could take another hit. Don’t bet on a direction before the news comes out.
③ Weekend liquidity is thin—major exchanges are operating normally, but market depth is poor. A single large order can produce a wick of several hundred dollars up or down, so don’t get fooled by fake weekend breakouts.
④ The Fear & Greed Index is at 56, in the greed zone—it fell for two straight days from 69 to 56 last week, signaling that market sentiment is ebbing. Everyone is a stock-picking genius when prices rise; only when the tide goes out do you see who has been swimming naked.
⑤ Liquid Network was hacked last week—$320 million, or 4,000 BTC. Although this does not affect the BTC mainnet, keep an eye on it to prevent the situation from snowballing over the weekend.