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• The Geometry: Price has tagged the channel ceiling around $225-$234 for the second time. A confirmed rejection here shifts the path of least resistance back toward internal channel equilibrium.
• Momentum Exhaustion: On the 3D timeframe, price carved out a double-top test with an active shooting star candle and waning volume. The weekly RSI continues to display a broad bearish divergence against late 2025 swing highs, while the MACD histogram shows declining expansion.
Structural Parameters:
• Setup Type: Resistance test / channel fade
• Target 1 (Weekly Demand Shelf): $168.70
• Target 2 (Macro Extension / Gap): ~$120.00 (confluent with the rising 200-week SMA)
Structural Invalidation: Weekly acceptance & candle close > $245.00
#GateEventContractChallenge
$NVDA