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Current status: A ten-year high, surpassing Dogecoin in market cap
On September 6, ZEC reached a high of $1,260; at the time of writing on September 7, it was around $1,180+, still up 11% in 24 hours, with a market cap of approximately $20.1 billion, officially surpassing Dogecoin to rank among the top 11 by market cap. From around $500 at the beginning of September to $1,200, it doubled in one week; from $42 last September, it has risen 2300% in a year. This is not an ordinary rebound, but the "return of the king" of an established privacy coin.
Why has this established privacy coin made a comeback? Five catalysts are converging
First, the ETF has opened a compliant channel for institutional capital. On August 25, Grayscale converted its Zcash trust, which had operated for nine years, into the ZCSH spot ETF, which was listed on the NYSE Arca. This was the first U.S. spot ETF for a privacy coin, with initial AUM of $304 million, growing to over $414 million within two weeks. Pensions, investment advisers, and family offices can now buy ZEC through brokerage accounts—this is structural demand, not speculative hot money.
Second, the closure of the SEC investigation cleared away the biggest compliance cloud. In January 2026, the SEC officially closed its investigation into Zcash without taking any enforcement action, effectively confirming ZEC's compliance status in the United States. A privacy coin that the SEC has "let off" and one that could be deemed a security at any time have completely different valuation logic.
Third, regulatory anxiety has instead become a catalyst for privacy demand. Tightening global financial regulation and the fallout from AI privacy scandals, such as the Astra agent incident, have turned "privacy is a basic right of digital citizens" from a slogan into real demand. The more regulation tightens, the more people recognize the risks of transparent on-chain addresses and the greater the need for assets with optional privacy.
Fourth, Grayscale itself has endorsed the idea that "ZEC will erode Bitcoin's market share." Zach Pandl, Grayscale's head of research, published reports in March and August arguing that Zcash's optional shielded transactions could gradually erode Bitcoin's market share. This is equivalent to one of the world's largest crypto asset managers publicly providing ZEC with a "buy thesis."
Fifth, technological upgrades, the halving effect, and mining-sector growth provide underlying support. Halo2 eliminates trusted setup, the Zashi wallet improves the user experience, expectations of a PoS transition, mining-sector growth with Foundry accounting for 30% of hashrate, and the "halving effect" mentioned by IOSG mean that ZEC is no longer an old coin with "only a narrative and no product."
Can the privacy sector's momentum continue?
It can continue, but there will not be a broad-based rise; the market will diverge.
The positive logic is solid: structural ETF inflows are ongoing, regulatory anxiety is long-term, and technological maturity is real. Moreover, this rally is not a solo performance by ZEC—XMR has broken through $520, up 41% in 30 days, while DASH has risen over 40% in a single day, with the entire privacy sector rotating. Signs of capital shifting from the "AI narrative" to the "privacy narrative" are clear.
But one long-term time bomb must be confronted: the EU's anti-money-laundering regulations will come fully into force in July 2027, explicitly prohibiting regulated crypto service providers from holding or servicing any privacy coins. The United States is paving the way for privacy coins, while the EU is cracking down on them—this divided landscape means the compliance ceiling for privacy coins is capped by the EU.
In addition, PANews' review of ZEC's previous surge, when it rose 12x over two months in autumn 2025, concluded that it "began with demand and ended with sentiment." The proportion of privacy transactions fell rather than rose after the surge, indicating that sentiment overshadowed real usage during the price spike. The slope of the current move from $1,000 to $1,200 already shows signs of being sentiment-driven.
Can $1,500 be reached?
There is still 25% upside from $1,200 to $1,500. It is possible directionally, but the path will not be linear. The triple forces of continued ETF inflows, sector rotation, and a short squeeze, with OI surging from $700 million to $2 billion, remain in play. As the next major psychological level, $1,500 is well within reach. However, profit-taking after a one-week doubling is extremely substantial, and the $1,200–$1,300 range will likely see intense volatility and even rapid wicks. It would be more prudent to discuss $1,500 after $1,200 has been firmly established as support.
Conclusion
ZEC's return of the king is no accident—ETF approval, SEC clearance, regulatory anxiety, institutional endorsement, and technological upgrades: five catalysts are converging to create a compliance-driven tailwind for privacy coins unlike anything seen in the past decade. The medium-term logic for the privacy sector holds, but short-term sentiment is overheated, while the EU's 2027 crackdown is a long-term ceiling. $1,500 is a reasonable target, but the journey will inevitably be bumpy.$ZEC