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#美国8月非农超预期 #辣妹儿李嘉欣 With the broader market pressing down here, gate probably has 90% of people believing this rally is not over yet, but before it finishes rallying, there has to be a move back to around 72000, followed by another rally. Don’t ask me where this 90% came from—it’s like the 80% win rate shouted out in livestreams, synthesized through the Nobel Prize in Mathematics, Musk Leninism, and borderline short videos on short-video platforms. That’s not important. What matters is that according to the logic of these 90% of people, there should be a pullback before another rally. But if I ask which comes first, 84000 or 72000, they wouldn’t dare swear that 72000 comes first. Do you know why? It’s not that they don’t know which comes first; it’s that they’ve been betting on a pullback all along, without knowing whether it will be a pullback from the 79500 reached a few days ago, the 81500 later on, or the 82000 from the day before yesterday. To put it plainly, I can understand you calling for a pullback at 82000: there’s a point where the price broke through while falling from a previous high, so saying 82000 is resistance isn’t wrong. But when you call for a pullback at 79500, if I say you’re just taking a wild guess, that would be somewhat insulting. Still, that’s basically what it is! As the price rallied all the way up, during the rally, any position where you called for a pullback wasn’t actually found by identifying a technical resistance level and taking a bearish view. Put simply, you just thought it had risen too much and needed a pullback. I’m talking about during the rally—I’m not talking about the price stopping its rise, pulling back, and then rebounding into the previous high’s resistance. On the hourly timeframe, shorting a pullback at the previous high’s resistance as a second sell signal is perfectly valid; that’s the technical approach.
Put simply, you can’t say whether 72000 comes first or 84000 comes first because you only know that after a big rally there should be a pullback, but you don’t know how high it can go. You only need to admit that.
Every time I post an update now, I just want to roast some people. Is this my problem or yours? Why don’t you come out and tell me whether 72000 comes first or 84000 comes first? You only need to say it.
So many coins have broken through weekly-level resistance. There should be a limit to how bearish you are. Being bearish, calling for a pullback, and taking a short-term short are not the same thing.
Not important, not important. I want to mention something: a long time ago, I planned to organize an event involving GT, but I had planned to do it next year. This rally has made me feel like the plan may fall through.
The general idea is that, in the form of a subscription, on a monthly or quarterly basis, you transfer your GT to my account, and once the term expires, I return it.
Your benefits: you can’t hold your positions, so I hold them for you; and you get to see my subscription content as well as the subscription content of 5-10 other top Gate streamers.
My benefits: for each subscription period (one quarter or one month), I take a few percent of the GT corresponding to your subscription amount. (The GT is partly for viewing my content, of course, but that’s not important. What matters is that I use the fees I collect from you to subscribe to others, then let you all view everything together. You pay one fee to watch several of them—use whichever one seems luckier or has longer legs.)
The most important point is that this is on a fixed term. If, before it expires, you say you want to redeem your GT, that’s fine. I’ll add up the subscription fees for these streamers, deduct them, and return the rest directly to you.
What do I mainly make money from? I’m betting that some of you won’t be able to hold your positions midway through and will want to exit, or that you’ll run out of capital after your remaining principal gets liquidated and sell the GT you have with me to trade contracts. I’m betting that some of you will break the agreement midway through.
Of course, go ahead—do you really think I could run off? Based on the growth history of crypto’s retail investors, before I even get the chance to run, you’ll already have been liquidated, run out of money, and been unable to hold on, coming back to redeem it, right?
So tell me, what do you think of my plan?
It can both let me take a shot at the people I look down on,
And make it convenient for you to hold spot through the bull market while also seeing the signature skills of various major streamers.
I don’t lose out either; I can still earn a management fee from you.
It accomplishes several things at once.
But this can’t be done right now. The coin price is too high, so it isn’t suitable for holding into the bull market. But I’m going to implement it next year, or I’ll do it if the price falls back down.
Still, there should already be spot holdings out there. Just as at 60000, no one failed to go long, everyone should be able to hold on. Keep it up—you’re the best!
Also, if you couldn’t even hold your long positions at 60000, why do you think that if you’re given another 60000 you’ll be able to hold it—because you watch livestreams every day? Scroll through short videos?