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Tomorrow, when Nonfarm Payrolls are released, I’ll give everyone a primer on NFP.
1. NFP > expectations (far above expectations): bearish, delaying rate cuts
2. NFP = expectations (in line with expectations): neutral; let technicals dictate the market, with a focus on wages—falling wages would be bullish
3. NFP < expectations (weaker than expected): weakening employment → bullish; the Federal Reserve begins cutting rates.