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Opened small initial long positions in SOL at 106 and TRUMP just now [thinking] Short-term targets are 110–114 for the former and 2.7–3.5 for the latter. Also added some spot XRP around 1.38. Relevant developments include the White House Crypto Summit in September and Trump pushing the CLARITY Act (Digital Asset Market Structure Act), which may classify XRP and other assets as commodities rather than securities.
Spot XRP ETFs continue to see net inflows, while institutional demand is recovering. XRP remains firmly ranked first on South Korean exchanges.#五大联赛赛前预测官
But I think what really needs to be heard is not just whether rates will be cut in September.
More importantly, will he discuss:
The Fed’s future policy framework, balance sheet, and the relationship between monetary and fiscal policy.
The U.S. fiscal side wants to lower long-term financing costs, while the Fed needs to control inflation.
One wants long-term rates to come down, while the other needs to prevent inflation from rising again.
There is actually a very interesting policy tug-of-war here.
So if Warsh only talks about September policy tonight, the market may digest it quickly.
But if he starts discussing the long-term policy framework, that would mean something different.
Because the market is never trading just a single rate cut.
What truly affects risk assets such as BTC and U.S. stocks is:
Whether liquidity will become looser in the future or remain relatively tight.