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BTC Falls to $79,000: Bulls Don't Rush to Cry, and Bears Don't Rush to Open the Champagne
After BTC surged above $81,000, it quickly fell back to $79,000, and market sentiment once again began playing out its classic script: yesterday, people were still discussing “when will $90k arrive,” while today, some have already started asking, “Can $70k still hold?”
This is BTC.
When it rises, it makes you feel like Warren Buffett; when it pulls back, it makes you question your life.
But based on the current trend, I believe the pullback to $79,000 should be understood more as a release of risk after the rally, and it still cannot be defined as a trend reversal for now.
On August 25, BTC briefly touched around $81,200 before falling back to around $79,000. The market had already experienced a very sharp rally, accompanied by roughly $3 billion in crypto market liquidations and a clear return of ETF inflows.
Therefore, short-term profit-taking is entirely reasonable.
More importantly, market sentiment had already heated up rapidly. The Fear & Greed Index briefly entered the “extreme greed” zone, meaning that although investor confidence had clearly recovered, more short-term funds were also chasing the highs.
A pullback at this point may actually be beneficial.
If BTC continued rising mindlessly, with more and more leveraged funds entering the market, conditions could instead become fragile. The current retest of $79,000 allows some short-term funds to lock in profits and also gives the market a chance to find a new balance.
Next, I am focusing most on three levels:
**$80k:** Whether it can regain a firm foothold will determine whether the breakout is valid.
**$78,000:** An important short-term support level; losing it could cause market sentiment to cool significantly.
**$76,000:** A deeper defensive zone. If the price can still find quick support after falling here, it would indicate that the bullish structure has not been completely damaged.
Conversely, if BTC reclaims $80k and breaks above $81,200 on strong volume, this pullback could become merely a brief interlude in the uptrend.
So for now, I am not rushing to turn bearish.
But likewise, just because the previous rise looked strong, I will not immediately declare that “$90k and $100k are already on the schedule.”
Being bullish on the trend does not mean the price will only rise and never fall.
A truly strong market is one where people buy the dip, rather than everyone shouting “it will rise forever.”
So this move to $79,000 is actually a very good observation window.
Can the bulls catch it?
Do the bears dare to re-enter?
Will ETF inflows continue?
These three questions are far more important than “will it rise or fall today?”
After all, BTC has already kicked open the door to $80,000.
The question now is not whether there is a door, but—
after kicking it open, can it sit securely inside?#BTC回调至79000美元