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#TopFiveLeaguesPreMatchPredictor
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Match Prediction (26.08.2026, 19:00 UTC)
Real Madrid is my favorite team, so today I expect them to win.
Context
This is a postponed Matchday 1 La Liga fixture. The match will take place at the Santiago Bernabéu. For José Mourinho, this is his first home game since returning to the club.
Real Madrid's form:
In the opening round, Real Madrid defeated Espanyol away (2:1). Goals: Bellingham (9'), the winner — Espi (90+'). The team earned 3 points.
Real Madrid absences:
Definitely ruled out: Tchouaméni, Endrick, Militão, Mendy, Rodrygo, Asensio, Pitach.
Doubtful: Bellingham (ankle injury).
Sociedad's form
They lost to Betis away in the opening round (0:1). They have suffered 4 consecutive defeats in official matches. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 12 games.
Sociedad absences
Definitely out: Odriozola, Marín, Gorosategui.
Doubtful: Barrenetxea (muscle injury), Guedes (recovery).
Head-to-head:
Real Madrid have won their last 6 La Liga matches against this opponent. Last season at home — 4:1. Overall historical record: 44 games, 30 Real Madrid wins, 7 draws, 7 defeats.
Statistical assessment (Opta)
Real Madrid win probability: 66% - win, draw: 19%, win: 15%.
Final prediction
Real Madrid win. The visitors are in poor form and have squad problems, but the hosts also have significant absences, so I do not expect a heavy thrashing.
Predicted score: 2:0 in favor of Real Madrid.