August 25, 2026 (Tuesday) BTC Futures Technical Analysis

The current BTC spot/perpetual contract price is approximately $79,000–$80,700 (real-time prices are subject to the order book). On August 24, it rebounded strongly from around $77,000, reaching a high of approximately $80,000–$81,200 and closing around $78,800–$79,000. The strong rebound structure from the mid-August range of approximately $62k–$64k has strengthened further, with the monthly gain exceeding 25%.
Below is a multi-timeframe technical review (based on publicly available charts and indicator data, for reference only and not investment advice).
I. Short term (Daily/4-hour)
• Trend: Strong bullish continuation. The price has decisively broken above previous highs and multiple moving averages, forming a higher-high structure. After breaking upward from the $62K–$64K range, it is currently testing the $80,000 psychological level.
• Indicators:
◦ RSI(14) remains in overbought territory (approximately 78–82), creating short-term pullback or consolidation pressure, though it can remain elevated in a strong market.
◦ MACD has formed a bullish crossover and is diverging upward, with the histogram expanding and bullish momentum prevailing.
◦ Moving averages: Short- and medium-term moving averages have shifted into a bullish alignment, with the price clearly above most moving averages (including the 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages).
• Key levels:
◦ Resistance: $80,000–$81,000 (psychological level + recent high); $83,000–$84,500; higher target around $88,000.
◦ Support: $78,000–$78,500 (post-breakout retest); $76,000–$76,500; $74,500–$75,000.
II. Medium term (Weekly)
• The weekly chart has broken upward from the previous range, further strengthening its structure. Key support lies at $74,000–$76,000. As long as these areas are not decisively broken, the medium-term bullish outlook remains solid.
• Weekly RSI and MACD both support continued bullish momentum, but investors should beware of a pullback and digestion following short-term overbought conditions.
III. Long-term perspective
• From a monthly/quarterly perspective, the market is recovering from its lows and still has room before reaching the previous high (approximately $126,000). The current rebound is a medium-term recovery move; if $80,000 holds with increased volume, it could open up further upside.
IV. Key points for futures trading
• Basis and funding rate: If perpetual contract funding rates are elevated, short-term pullback pressure may intensify.
• Trading volume: A breakout above $80,000 requires volume confirmation; declining volume during a retest would be healthier.
• Correlation: The market is correlated with macro factors (Federal Reserve expectations and ETF fund flows), gold, and equities. Recent ETF inflows have provided clear support.
V. Overall assessment
The overall bias is bullish, with the market’s ability to hold the $80,000 level in focus.
It is preferable to wait for a stable retest of $78,000–$78,500 or lower support before considering long positions; if $81,000 is broken on strong volume, one may follow the move. If $76,000 breaks and the decline accelerates, the bullish structure should be reassessed.
Market volatility is intense. The above analysis is for reference only. Please make independent judgments based on the real-time order book, trading volume, and funding rates, and strictly manage risk. Futures trading carries a liquidation risk; exercise caution. #BTC突破8万 $BTC ‌