BTC — Last 24 Hours (Aug 15, 2026)

📊 Market Data
Price: ~$62,850–63,600 (24h range: $62,525 – $63,573)
Market cap: ~$1.26T (rank #1)
24h volume: $18–21B
24h change: roughly -0.65% to -1.7% (varies by source, generally soft/flat)
BTC dominance: ~56% of total crypto market cap (~$2.25T)
BTC remains range-bound below all major daily moving averages — EMA20 ($63,961), EMA50 ($64,463), EMA200 ($71,907) — signaling the medium-term trend structure is still bearish. Short-term resistance $64,200–65,500, support $62,500–62,800.
⛓️ On-Chain Data
MVRV: 1.21 (moderate valuation, not overheated)
SOPR: near 1.00 (most holders selling around cost basis, no aggressive profit-taking)
Whale activity: gradual accumulation — some whales moving coins from exchanges to cold storage (reduces near-term sell pressure)
Exchange Whale Ratio: recently spiked to a 10-month high — a caution flag, since it means whales are using exchanges more actively (potential sell prep)
Exchange reserves: still trending down longer-term (ETF and digital asset treasury demand keeps absorbing supply)
💰 ETF & Sentiment
ETF inflows (Aug 14): +$850M in despite spot price weakness — institutions still accumulating even as retail stays cautious
Fear & Greed Index: 29 (Fear) per one source, ~46–48 (Neutral) per another — mixed signal, but leaning defensive/cautious overall
Daily RSI14: 42 (soft, not oversold); 1h RSI: 32.6 (near short-term oversold)
🌍 Macro Data
July 2026 CPI: +0.1% MoM, 3.4% YoY — inflation still above target
DXY (Dollar Index): ~99.6, weakening toward a 2-month low (touched 95.53 on Aug 7) — a weaker dollar is typically supportive for risk assets like BTC
The Fed: next FOMC meeting is September; markets currently expect the Fed to hold rates steady, supported by cooling inflation data and a softening labor market
Jackson Hole Symposium: Aug 24–26 — a key upcoming catalyst for the Fed's policy direction
Weekly jobless claims: rising but still historically low; recent labor data has come in weaker than expected
🔑 Summary
BTC is currently caught between supportive macro conditions (weaker dollar, dovish Fed expectations) and cautious retail sentiment. On-chain structure looks relatively healthy (moderate MVRV, whales still net-accumulating long-term), but softer spot volume and the whale-ratio warning keep the market from a convincing breakout. Key levels to watch: support $62,500, resistance $64,200–65,500.