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For those who aren’t positioned yet:



If you’re waiting for Q4, this is the plan and expectations.

Any sweep below the 57K wick low, if we get one, should be bought up very aggressively and almost instantly.

I don’t expect us to spend much time trading around these levels. In a low liquidity environment, whales are likely to use other people’s liquidations as an opportunity to accumulate large positions while most participants are dead.

So, if we do get a sweep below 57K during Q4, I believe there’s a high probability that it becomes the bottoming wick.

Key word: IF.

By now, it should be pretty obvious that I expect $BTC to be above 80K in Q1 next year. With BTC currently around 62.8K, that presents a significant move to capture, especially with leverage.

We still have a couple of weeks before Q4 approaches, so for those who aren’t currently exposed or positioned, my advice would be to start preparing accordingly and look to build exposure on any sweeps into these levels.

Personally, I don’t feel the need to clarify every post, but for transparency: I’m already in my long and spot position, with a 65.8K notional average.

As always, the 57K sweep is a conditional scenario, not a prediction that it must happen.
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GateUser-660e3c7e
2026-08-14
nice one, what about risk management?
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GasWarsSurvivor
2026-08-14
That said, “IF” is the key. If it really drops below 57K, would you dare to buy heavily? I’ll place my orders first, just in case my finger slips.
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GridFarmer
2026-08-14
Low-liquidity wicks are indeed the most common, and whales love using liquidation orders to build positions. From 62.8K to 80K in Q1, the risk-reward looks good, but the key is actually getting an opportunity below 57K. I’ve already left part of my position in place, but didn’t dare go all-in; I’ll add after that lower wick appears.
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