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On-Chain Signals
Exchange Netflow: positive at ~498 BTC for 2 consecutive days → more BTC flowing into exchanges than out, indicating potential short-term selling pressure.
Whale Exchange Ratio: dropped to 0.36 (from a previously elevated level) → whale dominance on exchanges easing.
Whale accumulation: whales (10–10,000 BTC) accumulated +20,000 BTC (~$1.2B) since July 29 — net buying for 5 straight days.
ETF flows: spot BTC ETF inflows ~$626M (Aug 3–5), dominated by BlackRock's IBIT — institutional signal still positive but not aggressive.
Momentum (ADX): slight +DI/-DI crossover (19 vs 18) → bulls hold a marginal edge, no strong directional momentum yet.
Sentiment conclusion: Mixed — whales and ETFs continue accumulating, but positive exchange netflow and the declining channel structure warrant caution. No decisive breakout in either direction yet.