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Tonight at 2:00 a.m., the much-anticipated Fed interest rate decision—how are you positioning?
The probability of keeping the rate unchanged rises to 70%
Although the market is stoking a rate-hike frenzy, the main theme is “more thunder than rain.” I think it’s basically a sure thing tonight that the interest rate will be kept unchanged;
The North American market has already been in a continuous selloff this month, especially with the memory sector—Hynix led the collapse; plus the demand for month-end candle closes, I expect tonight could be a potential short-term minor reversal moment;
Tonight’s downside can be used to test and take an extra position—betting on a counterattack after the market digests major news, in the scenario that the rate remains unchanged both before and after the decision lands;
Of course, the focus is still on SNDK/XAU/BTC in the short term—there really is some need for a rebound here, and the indicators are also tracking pretty well;
So tonight, I expect all the selloff to be a short-term opportunity;
#美联储利率决议即将公布