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#SECChairOptimisticOnCLARITYAct
The FOMC meeting has begun, but this time we're going in with fewer clues from Warsh. With no clear roadmap or dot plot from the Fed, do we just sit and wait?
Not quite.
I spoke with our senior equity analyst Steven, who pointed out that the futures and options markets are still constantly pricing in what investors expect next.
Right now, the market is broadly pricing:
⏸️ No change at this meeting
🆙 Around a 55% chance of a hike in September
🤔 Only around a 10% chance rates stay unchanged through year-end
They are a live reflection of how the market is positioning through CME interest-rate futures