As of July 29, BTC has been priced above $70,000, with a 70%-71% bet share making it the market’s number-one mainstream expectation, significantly more certain than the other two brackets; a pullback to $55,000 has a 51%-52% probability, which is a neutral-to-bearish divergent expectation; pushing higher to $75,000 is only 43%-46% likely, making it a game-based optimistic target with the highest difficulty to achieve.