In some downtrend markets, before the move truly begins, it will first grind people down until they lose patience. In the earlier stretch, the price moved sideways; it would sometimes even deliberately push up. When many people see a red K-line, they want to chase the order—and I almost got that “urge to follow” too. But at the high level, there was never any sustained buy-side support; the more I looked, the more the market felt like it was manufacturing an illusion for the bulls.



I waited until the rebound reached around 2.0071, then followed the shorts only after it met renewed pressure. Throughout the process, I didn’t change my judgment just because of one or two price spikes. Later, the selling pressure gradually increased, and the price was pushed all the way down to 1.4243. In the end, this trade yielded 80%, which also turned the earlier waiting into a realized result.

Once you’ve stayed in the crypto space long enough, you’ll know the easiest time to make a mistake is often not when you don’t understand, but when you’re too eager to prove yourself right away. Missing the first leg doesn’t mean there’s no opportunity. Being able to hold back from chasing a rise and waiting for confirmation under pressure will actually help you keep your timing steady.

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