7.29 Gold early-morning market observation



Before the interest-rate decision at dawn was finalized, gold prices were kept under pressure, with spot gold in London trading in a low range around 4038 and continuing to consolidate. The market had priced in more hawkish policy expectations in advance; US Treasury yields and the US dollar rose in tandem, reducing the appeal of non-yielding precious metals. At the same time, the geopolitical safe-haven premium faded, while high-position holders continued to exit. The chart kept weakening continuously; liquidity was relatively weak in the early morning, and short-term volatility increased.

The near-term suppression range is 4060-4080, with 4115 as the strong resistance for this phase. Key support lies at 4000 and 3980 below. Global central banks continue to allocate and buy physical gold, so there is limited room for a large, deep sell-off. The 4000 level is the key line that splits near-term bulls and bears.

Early-morning reference range:
1. Rebound 4060-4080, with defense above 4100; targets 4000 and 3980.
2. Pull back 3980-4000, with defense below 3960; targets look toward around 4060.
GLDX-1.28%
PAXG-1.09%
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OsmosisFlow
· 2h ago
At dawn, liquidity being low really tends to amplify volatility. I’ve been watching the 4060–4080 suppression zone for days—if the rebound can’t break through, I’ll keep looking to short.
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CompoundSeeder
· 3h ago
Bro, you analyzed it really thoroughly, but I still feel that pricing in too much ahead of the rate decision (meeting) often makes it easier to see a reversal after it actually plays out. I’ll wait and watch for now; there’s no rush to act.
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HardwarePreacher
· 5h ago
If the 4,000 level can’t be held, that would be a problem. However, the central bank is backing it with physical gold custody, so the probability of a sharp drop should be low. For the short term, it’s still safer to wait for a pullback and go long.
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