$NIL A 20% plunge in 24 hours—at a price of 0.0364, how many people’s cost lines have already been wiped out, while BTC is only just catching its breath and the Fed turns hawkish again. Last night at 3 a.m., my short position from that wave was exactly timed to enter at 0.039; in the morning I took half off at 0.037, and the rest I set a stop-loss order at 0.035. This isn’t Monday-morning quarterbacking—I had already warned in the group before the open: once the Fed meeting minutes came out, BTC immediately dropped by 3.2%. The brothers who bought at the NIL high around 0.046 got buried straight away, down 8 percentage points into the deep waters.

Now looking at the specific quant data: 24h trading volume is $31.3 million, but the price was smashed from 0.046 to 0.036—volume-wise it’s more like bearish release. The average selling pressure per minute is 1.7x higher than yesterday, indicating short-term panic sellers are accelerating their exit. But there’s one abnormal signal: near 0.036, the buy-limit orders suddenly outnumber those at 0.038 by 3x. That either means market makers are defending the price, or it’s the bottom-fishing faction setting up its move. If tonight BTC can hold 61,000—the prior low support—and bounce, NIL will likely rebound toward 0.039. But if BTC keeps probing lower and breaks the 0.036 line of defense, the next support to watch is 0.033.

As for my personal strategy: I plan to take a small position at 0.0363 for 10% of my intended size, set the stop-loss at 0.0348, and place a take-profit order at 0.0395. If your position is heavier, don’t get greedy—trim on the rebound. Right now, the daily MACD has already formed a bearish cross with widening divergence; it’s entirely a short-term oversold rebound/repair, not a trend reversal. Want to trade the short-term move? Keep a close eye on the U.S. initial jobless claims data at 9:30 p.m. If there’s an expectation surprise, the bears could come in with another round of a hard dump. Did you catch this wave of momentum?