$NVDAX USDT Nvidia late-day review: Broke down quickly after a high-level breakout; rebounds hit resistance—prefer taking short positions first



News: The market’s expectations for long-term demand of AI chips have diverged, and the tech giant sector collectively saw profit-taking. US stock risk appetite cooled somewhat; funds cashed out and fled at high levels. In the short term, there is a lack of industry-positive catalysts exceeding expectations to push the price higher again. After a prior sustained uptrend that built up a large volume of long-side profits, concentrated selling pressure continues to release; rebound continuation remains weak.

Technicals: After high-level consolidation on the 4-hour timeframe, a large bearish candle broke down and moved lower, damaging the long-side structure. Short-term moving averages turn downward, forming suppression. The FVG gap left above is the core pressure zone at 199.0-202.0; bullish momentum quickly fades. Below, near-term support is 193.5, with key support around 190.

Trading plan: When the rebound reaches the 199.0-202.0 pressure zone, scale in short positions in batches. At the current price around 194.8, it’s not recommended to chase shorts directly; wait for the rebound to face pressure before entering. For short-term targets, first look at 193.5; if there is an effective breakdown, then further downside may extend toward 190.

⚠️US tech stocks are highly volatile and easily affected by broader market news. All orders must strictly set stop-losses; no holding positions for the long term is allowed.
(This article is only for sharing trading ideas and does not constitute any investment advice)
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BlackSwanObserver
· 4h ago
After the large bearish candle breaks the level, the moving average suppression is clearly evident, and in the short term it is indeed difficult to pull back directly. However, we also need to watch the support at 193.5; if it holds, the price may consolidate and range-trade.
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BaseFeeOracle
· 4h ago
Analysis is thorough, and the rebound short-term entry is indeed solid—wait to enter around 199.
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BTCSnowball
· 6h ago
This pullback is quite harsh. Long profit-taking has been concentrated and cashed out. Anyone who chased longs yesterday probably got trapped. At the moment, the rebound strength looks insufficient, so a short setup between 199-202 is fairly reasonable, with the stop-loss placed above 203. But also be careful of sudden positive news that could trigger a rally—strict stop-loss discipline is crucial.
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