The thing that left the deepest impression on me is that it was really quiet before the market started moving. It hovered sideways at the highs for a long time. It looked like it was about to pump a few times, but sell pressure pushed it back down. Only around 0.2438 did I start seriously considering the short opportunity—not chasing after a drop.

When I first got on board, it wasn’t easy. The price was stabbing back and forth, and short-term sentiment was once quite strong—people with itchy hands are very likely to chase longs here. My idea was simple: if a fake breakout doesn’t continue and the bid support keeps getting thinner and thinner, then just be patient and wait for the chart to answer on its own.

By the time 0.1571 appeared, the downtrend had already torn open the strong-looking facade from before. The final feedback was +2523.31%. This leg wasn’t about going short because it dropped; it was because those prior high-to-low moves and insufficient follow-through support never really disappeared.

In crypto, the easiest way to get burned is to take a temporary rally as a real reversal. When I don’t understand, I’ll hesitate too, but once weakness is confirmed, the most important thing isn’t to keep getting carried away—it’s not to be led astray by the noise.

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