I’ve been tricked into fake breakouts before, too. This time, I didn’t rush to chase longs—I waited for it to show fatigue on its own. Price kept pushing up near 345.75, but it never managed to hold steady. On the surface it looked strong, but each time after the pump, someone would dump it back down. That detail is what made me start noticing the short opportunity.

Shorting wasn’t easy, either. At first there were a few counter-bounces, and at key levels it even made me wonder if I’d misjudged. Luckily, later the bids kept weakening. After the price broke below the trading range, the short momentum clearly accelerated, and it slid all the way to 213.18 before I truly relaxed.

The result on this trade is recorded as +2722.47%, which is a pretty anti-instinctful realization. It wasn’t that I went short just because I saw a drop. It was those earlier signs—rallies that failed and weak follow-through—that had already exposed the problem.

The biggest fear in trading is getting spooked into making random moves by a single rebound, and also getting carried away after you start seeing profit. Being able to hold onto the earlier judgment is already much more comfortable than chasing after the move. This time, it made me value waiting for confirmation even more.

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