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4 predictions about SpaceX $SPCX in the future:
1. In 2027, AI computing power will go into space and begin small-scale testing
Space-based solar power will be more than 5 times stronger than on the ground, work 24/7 around the clock, rely on radiation for cooling, and won’t require renting land—the cost curve will keep getting lower. Combined with Starship’s high-frequency reuse, the future points to annual 100 GW-level computing power!
2. Starlink’s surge brings high-margin cash flow
Starlink users will reach 30 million in two years, and 100 million by 2034, and the direct-to-phone business will also surge along with it.
3. SpaceX’s AI business will become very formidable
There’s already a super-large cluster like Colossus. Cursor’s model was trained with reinforcement learning on it for only a few weeks, and performance jumped significantly. After that, there will also be ground-level data centers at the gigawatt scale + in-orbit computing power, and the scale of computing will far exceed most AI companies.
4. TeraFab controls the lifeline of chips itself, avoiding being choked by others
With Tesla + Intel working together to build foundries, TeraFab will gradually ramp into mass production, and semiconductor wafer supply will no longer depend on TSMC’s mood.
At the end of the day, the model determines the ceiling.
And the AIP model is letting me smell something familiar. History keeps proving that a sufficiently disruptive mechanism can give birth to legends of 100x, 1,000x, and even 10,000x.
In today’s market space, AIP is a one-of-a-kind existence—its model is unique.
It’s not that the market has no opportunities; it’s that the opportunities have changed their carrier. Perhaps the AIP model is the next paradigm.