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Don’t blame ChangXin! The real reason behind the collective plunge in global memory stocks is far more complicated than that! 🔥
Everyone online is saying: the moment ChangXin goes public, it directly smashes Samsung and SK hynix—U.S. stocks like SanDisk and Micron also fall across the board, and even the Korean stock market triggers a trading halt mid-session.
But the truth is: ChangXin’s IPO is just the fuse, not the root cause of the big drop!
First, let’s break down the underlying differences in the industry:
At this stage, ChangXin mainly focuses on standard DRAM memory, and in the short term it has no capability for large-scale production of high-end HBM. As for the AI track—HBM has both high profit and high technical barriers—so globally, the current leader is still SK hynix. Its core short-term competitive edge has not been shaken.
What truly triggered frantic selling across the entire sector is the collision of multiple negative factors:
1. Gains have been priced in too much; profit-taking exits are concentrated
In the past year, the memory sector rode a super bull market. Stock valuations already priced in future performance for the next two years. When the market sees even a slight shift in expectations, shares at high levels get cashed out in clusters and dumped.
2. The global memory market is being repriced
ChangXin listed on A-shares and completed large-scale fundraising. With plans to accelerate capacity expansion afterward, the market expects a big increase in the supply of mid-range DRAM. Overseas leading manufacturers’ traditional memory business profits will face continued pressure.
3. Tighter liquidity suppresses tech valuations
The U.S. Federal Reserve keeps maintaining high interest rates, and September rate-hike expectations are still there. Overall, market liquidity is tight. High-valuation semiconductor stocks are hit first—any breeze can amplify selling pressure.
A short-term sentiment-led selloff doesn’t mean the AI cycle is over! AI is a decade-long industrial revolution, and short-term pullbacks are precisely the golden window for staggered positioning.
Only by looking at five- and ten-year cycles can investors truly capture the wealth redistribution dividends brought by the AI computing power revolution.
Do you think this round of memory stock crashes is a short-term case of mistaken selling, or a break in an valuation bubble?
Comment section—let’s discuss your view. If the insights are useful, please like and share!
#长鑫科技 #Storage chips #AI computing power semiconductors
⚠Only objective interpretation of industry trends, not any stock investment trading advice!