The market is replicating the pattern again; this time shorting was also a total beatdown—the public open interest followed the rhythm, and those who got in big have been raking in huge profits.

In the previous rally phase for BTC and ETH, the whole internet was singing in unison to go long and chase the pump, with full screens of voices saying they looked bullish for fresh highs. Only I kept reminding everyone, over and over in posts, livestream rooms, and in my community: on the 4-hour cycle everything is fully overbought. Any rebound is just a short-term squeeze-and-lure for long positions; the downward room on the weekly level hasn’t finished being released yet. I stayed firm in syncing the bearish layout ideas.

Back then, a lot of people were thrown off by the consecutive green candles. They were afraid of missing out on the rising行情, so they went heavy long at high levels, and even questioned my bearish logic. But after so many years of trading, I’ve never let the market’s short-term restless emotions take control. I judge the trend objectively based on K-line cycles, the Bollinger Bands, and indicator signals, and I keep building positions in batches, strictly controlling the margin usage ratio. Even if a small rebound and shakeout happens midway, it has never shaken the established layout logic.

The ETH short at 1955🈳 given in the livestream, and the BTC short at 65450 given earlier—so far, ETH has already captured 75 points, and BTC has captured 2000 points of profit potential.

I never do Monday-morning quarterbacking. For every round of my layout, my thinking is disclosed in advance—no hiding, no fabrication. Friends who kept up with the rhythm have fully captured this downturn’s rich upside.

I really understand the pain points of ordinary traders: without a systematic order-book/price action analysis logic, gains and losses can only end up following the crowd. When it goes up, they rush to chase higher; when it drops, they panic and cut. They get chopped up back and forth by the market, and the principal they worked hard to accumulate keeps shrinking. In the short term, market up/down is driven by luck; for long-term stable profits, what matters is the accumulated sense of the market over many years, emotion-free judgment, and the position/risk control bottom line hard-coded into your bone.

Opportunities always go to those willing to sit down, figure out the cycle, and stick to their own judgment. Going forward, for every key turning point on the chart, I will still sync my complete thinking in the first place—so we can seize a clear big-range行情 together. $ETH $BTC